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July 2016 U.S. LV Sales Thread: Strong Monthly Sales Push SAAR to 11-Year High

(FINAL) U.S. automakers reach 17.77 million-unit monthly light-vehicle SAAR on 1.51 million deliveries.

JULY 2016 US LV SALES  
FORECAST v REPORTED UNITS
WardsAuto Forecast LV Sales 1.50 million
Current Projected July LV Sales  1.51 million
WardsAuto Forecast LV SAAR        17.58 million
Current Projected July LV SAAR    17.77 million


WardsAuto tracks light-vehicle (LV) deliveries throughout sales reporting day. Monthly year-over-year change represents the change in daily sales rate (DSR).  July had 26 selling days this year compared with 26 days in 2015, meaning DSR % change will equal straight volume %change for year-over-year comparisons this month.

Related Table 

U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Summary table

FINAL: July 4th weekend sales gave the month a strong start and the momentum continued through the end, as U.S. light vehicle sales surpassed expectations. Automakers sold 1.51 million LVs in July, a 0.3% improvement from same-month year-ago.

The 17.77 million SAAR was the highest for the month since 2005, and the highest of any month this year.

General Motors sales were down versus year-ago, but strong incentive activity lifted market share to 17.7% of LV sales, up from the 16.7% for first half of this year. Ford took a steeper fall, resulting in a 13.9% share compared to year-ago's 14.5%.

Toyota followed with a 14.1% take, slightly less than year-ago, while FCA finished in the No.4 spot with an 11.8% take, just below prior-year's 11.9%.

Honda finished in the No.5 spot ahead of Nissan, accounting for 10.1% of LV sales for the month.

Industry LV sales through the first seven months of 2016 were 10.11 million, 1.1% higher than same-period 2015.

 

UPDATE 1:59 PM ET:

Hyundai-Kia also came in above expectations. Hyundai reported 75,003 sales, up 5.6% while sister South Korean brand Kia was up 6.5% on 59,969 deliveries.

The remaining two big German automakers had mixed results. BMW posted 30,551 sales, 5.0% below July 2015. Daimler sold 32,298 LVs, 7.1% ahead of last year.

UPDATE 12:52 PM ET:

Toyota's sales came in just above the forecast at 214,233 LVs, a 1.4% dip in DSR, that brings the company's YTD sales to 1.41 million, a 2.5% decline from same-period 2015.

Subaru jumped 3.1% versus year-ago, with the company delivering 52,093 LVs. Subaru sales for the year are up 2.7%. 

Volkswagen performed better than expected with 28,758 units, 8.1% below year-ago.

UPDATE 11:13 AM ET:

Honda was up 4.4% to 152,799 deliveries in July. YTD, the automaker has performed 5.1% better than prior-year.

General Motors came in 1.9% below last year with 267,258 LVs, following expectations. The 7-month total was 1,706,173 units, 4.0% less than same-period 2015.

UPDATE 10:53 AM ET:

Nissan sold 132,475 vehicles,  up 1.2%  compared with same-month year-ago. Nissan's sales since January are up 7.3%.

Ford delivered 210,827 light vehicles in July, slipping 3.2% from year-ago. Ford's YTD sales are at 1.92 million units, up 4.9%. YTD, the automaker is 3.0% ahead of last year with 1,526,810 units.

FCA sold 179,333 LVs last month, flat with like-2015. The automaker's year-to-date total has been revised to fit their new tracking methodology. The 1,316,353 units is 4.3% above year-ago.

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